海、陆两用风力发电实验平台设计

在风电场通过现场测试分析研究风力机性能由于受到现场环境的限制,能够获得的研究数据有限,室内模拟实验平台能够有效弥补研究不足.为此提出了一种海、陆两用风力发电实验平台方案.该实验平台由来风装置、风轮、发电机、两段式塔架、漂浮台、波浪产生装置、传感检测和数据采集系统等构成.在实验平台整体方案基础上,进行了结构参数设计,建立了漂浮台受力分析模型并获得了合理的结构参数,以Lab VIEW为开发环境设计了上位机运行状态监控系统.最后,基于构建的实验平台,开展了部分风力机动态特性研究工作,对比分析了模拟陆地风力机和海上漂浮式风力机时塔架振动特性,为进一步深入开展风力机动态特性研究提供了基础.     

等候区手术患者家属的心理影响因素及干预措施

目的:探讨等候区手术患者家属的心理影响因素及其干预措施.方法:通过临床护理实践及查阅相关文献进行总结分析.结果:影响因素及其干预措施包括详解病情及手术风险性;对手术环境及术中情况的告知;完善急诊手术患者家属心理干预;根据不同文化水平进行健康宣教;尽量以病情为主,设计最经济有效的治疗方案;提高医护人员从业技能及道德品质.结论:对等候区手术患者家属进行积极有效的心理干预,可很大程度上减轻患者家属的焦虑程度,缓和医患关系,一定程度上提升了医疗质量.     

精神科新入职护士心理状况调查分析

目的:了解精神科新入职护士心理状况,为规范职业培训,稳定护士队伍提供必要的信息。方法:采用自行设计问卷对57名入职时间在5年内的精神科护士进行问卷调查,并对入职时间≤1年和>1年的两组人员进行比较分析。结果:精神科工作时间的长短是影响护士心理状况的重要因素,入职时间≤1年的护士85.7%担心被病人攻击受到伤害,71.4%担心独立值班应急处理能力差,66.7%认为自己精神专科疾病知识缺乏,入职时间>1年的护士则对职业规划和社会对精神专科护理工作的支持不够产生担忧。结论:根据精神科新入职护士的心理特点,制定规范的培训计划,开展有针对性的培训学习、临床带教等,帮助他们尽快熟悉工作环境,掌握精神专科护理技能,适应工作角色,为精神病患者提供优质服务。     

Optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer

This paper studies the optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer. The basic claim process is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift and the insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance from the reinsurer. The insurer and the reinsurer are allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. Moreover, the authors consider the correlation between the claim process and the price process of the risky asset. The authors ?rst study the optimization problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth for the insurer. Then with the optimal reinsurance strategy chosen by the insurer, the authors consider two optimization problems for the reinsurer: The problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth and the problem of minimizing the ruin probability. By solving the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, the authors derive the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies, explicitly. Finally, the authors illustrate the equality of the reinsurer's optimal investment strategies under the two cases.     

The Ordering and Replacement Policy for the System with Two Types of Failures

In this paper, the optimal maintenance policy is investigated for a system with stochastic lead time and two types of failures. The system has two types of failures, one type is repairable, when the repairable failure occurs, the system will be repaired by repairman, and the system after repair is not "as good as new". The other type of failure is unrepairable, and when the unrepairable failure occurs the system must be replaced by a new and identical one. The spare system for replacement is available only by order, and the lead time for delivering the spare system is stochastic. The successive survival times of the system form a stochastically decreasing geometric process, the consecutive repair times after failures of the system form a renewal process. By using the renewal process theory and geometric process theory, the explicit expression of the long-run average cost per unit time under ordering policy(N-1) is derived, and the corresponding optimal can be found analytically. Finally,the numerical analyses are given.     

A Novel Routing Method for Social Delay-Tolerant Networks

The lack of continuous connectivity and a complete path from source to destination makes node communication quite difficult in Delay-Tolerant Networks(DTNs). Most studies focus on routing problems in idealized network environments without considering social properties. Communication devices are carried by individuals in many DTNs; therefore, DTNs are unique social networks to some extent. To design efficient routing protocols for DTNs, it is important to analyze their social properties. In this paper, a more accurate and comprehensive metric for detecting the quality of the relationships between nodes is proposed, by considering the contact time, contact frequency, and contact regularity. An overlapping hierarchical community detection method is designed based on this new metric, and a tree structure is built. Furthermore, we exploit the overlapping community structure and the tree structure to provide message-forwarding paths from the source node to the destination node.The simulation results show that our Routing method based on Overlapping hierarchical Community Detection(ROCD) achieves better delivery rate than SimBet and Bubble Rap, the classic routing protocols, without affecting the average delay.     

Model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models with an application to stock market volatility forecast

This paper is concerned with model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models. Given a set of candidate models with different functional forms, we propose a model averaging estimator and forecast for conditional volatility, and construct the corresponding weight-choosing criterion. Under some regulatory conditions, we show that the weight selected by the criterion asymptotically minimizes the true Kullback–Leibler divergence, which is the distributional approximation error, as well as the Itakura–Saito distance, which is the distance between the true and estimated or forecast conditional volatility. Monte Carlo experiments support our newly proposed method. As for the empirical applications of our method, we investigate a total of nine major stock market indices and make a 1-day-ahead volatility forecast for each data set. Empirical results show that the model averaging forecast achieves the highest accuracy in terms of all types of loss functions in most cases, which captures the movement of the unknown true conditional volatility.     

Predictive Event-Triggered Control for Disturbanced Wireless Networked Control Systems

The control and scheduling for wireless networked control system with packet dropout and disturbance are investigated. A prediction based event triggered control is proposed to reduce data transmissions while preserving the robustness against external disturbance. First, a trigger threshold is especially designed to maintain the difference of the estimated and actual states below a proper boundary when system suffers from packet dropout. Then a predictive controller is designed to compensate for packet dropouts by utilizing the packet-based control approach. The sufficient conditions to ensure the closed-loop system being uniformly ultimately bounded are derived, with consequently the controller gain method. Numerical examples illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

工业机器人绝对定位误差补偿技术研究进展

 针对航空制造业中工业机器人存在实际位姿与理论位姿偏差的问题，分析了工业机器人绝对定位误差来源，解析其对飞机零部件连接性能产生的影响，在工业机器人绝对定位误差补偿原理和主要步骤分析基础上，阐述运动学建模、位姿测量、运动学参数误差辨识以及误差补偿等关键步骤对工业机器人绝对定位误差补偿的作用及重要性，对比分析了国内外学者在该步骤中涉及的主流算法和技术，归纳总结各步骤中存在的问题和可能的解决方案，探讨了工业机器人离线与在线误差补偿技术中的不足之处，指出工业机器人绝对定位误差补偿技术的发展趋势。